China Warns of Nuclear Attack Risk, Singles Out Japan

A study by China's People's Liberation Army (PLA) Rocket Force has warned that Chinese cities should prepare for possible nuclear attacks. The study specifically pointed out Japan as a 'major danger signal' to the world.

According to the PLA Rocket Force study, the chances of a large-scale global nuclear war are 'relatively low'. However, it said the possibility of a smaller nuclear attack cannot be ruled out. The study suggested that small or medium-sized nuclear-armed or potentially nuclear-armed countries, driven by political or religious conflicts, could carry out a single nuclear attack on neighbouring countries or key cities of major powers.

The study highlighted Japan's decision not to join the Treaty on the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons, an international agreement adopted in 2017 that bans nuclear weapons. It also claimed that Japan was considering changes to its long-standing 'three non-nuclear principles', which prohibit possessing, producing or allowing nuclear weapons to be introduced into the country.

The study warned that Chinese cities could still face a nuclear terrorist attack if certain countries or terrorist groups took such a risk. An official Chinese report released in January alleged that Japan may have secretly produced weapons-grade plutonium and has the technology and economic ability to develop nuclear weapons quickly.

The PLA Rocket Force study modelled a situation in which a major Chinese city is hit by a single, low-yield nuclear weapon. Using data from the 1945 Hiroshima bombing in Japan and worldwide simulations, researchers identified challenges for medical teams, including dangerous conditions, widespread disorder and complex injuries.

Beijing has already established an emergency rescue network with more than 30 bases to treat casualties from a nuclear attack. Researchers called for more treatment capacity, resources and specialised training. They recommended stockpiling emergency supplies, including antibiotics and radiation-protection equipment, and keeping them ready for use.

The study emphasized the need for public education on nuclear and radiation safety, rescue procedures and protective measures to reduce panic. The researchers said even a low-yield nuclear terrorist attack could cause heavy casualties and complex injuries, putting a 'huge test' on the medical capacity of any city or country.

The study's findings come after China, the United States, Russia, Britain and France, the five permanent members of the UN Security Council, issued a joint statement in January 2022 saying that 'a nuclear war cannot be won and must never be fought'. However, the PLA study warned that China should 'prepare for a rainy day' and strengthen its emergency preparations.

In conclusion, the PLA Rocket Force study highlights the potential risks of nuclear attacks and the need for China to prepare for such scenarios. The study's findings have significant implications for global security and highlight the importance of international cooperation in preventing nuclear conflicts.